Geneva, Switzerland: Global temperatures will likely remain at or near record levels from 2026 to 2030, the World Meteorological Organisation said Thursday.
The UN weather agency said there is an 86% chance that one year before 2031 will beat 2024 as the hottest year on record.
The WMO also projected a 75% chance that the 2026-2030 average will exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.
Annual global mean near-surface temperatures may range from 1.3°C to 1.9°C above the 1850-1900 average.
Leon Hermanson, lead author of the WMO update, said a predicted El Niño near the end of 2026 could raise the chance of a record-breaking 2027.
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The report said Arctic winter temperatures may average 2.8°C above the 1991-2020 baseline.
The WMO said wet anomalies may hit the Sahel, northern Europe, Alaska and Siberia, while dry anomalies may affect the Amazon.
