Kamala Harris led an early 2028 Democratic primary poll with 50% support. The Kamala Harris 2028 Democratic primary poll result came from a Harvard/Harris survey conducted April 23–26.
The poll, cited by Newsweek, showed Harris rising from 41% in March and 39% in January and February. The survey included 2,745 registered voters and had a margin of error of plus or minus 1.87 percentage points.
California Governor Gavin Newsom ranked second with 22% support. Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro received 9%, Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York had 8%, and Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker had 6%.
Columbia University political scientist Robert Y. Shapiro told Newsweek the results showed Harris was a “credible candidate,” but said her advantage should be weighed against other potential contenders and her name recognition.
Georgetown University professor Michael Bailey told Newsweek Harris’s support was “impressive”, but said betting markets were more sceptical of her chances in a competitive primary.
Kalshi gave Harris a 7.8% chance of winning the 2028 Democratic nomination, while Poly Market put her odds at about 8% as of Tuesday afternoon.
Read: Kamala Harris Says She May Run for President Again in 2028
Harris has not announced a 2028 campaign. Asked this month by the Reverend Al Sharpton whether she planned to run, Harris said, “I might. I am thinking about it.”
The poll comes after Harris appeared at Democratic events in Michigan, Arkansas and South Carolina. The former vice president lost to President Donald Trump in 2024 after replacing President Joe Biden late in the campaign.
