On August 15, 2025, the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) reported a weekly inflation increase of 0.31%, bringing the year-on-year inflation rate to 2.21%.
Prices for 17 essential items rose, including sugar, tomatoes, and broiler chicken. In contrast, nine items, such as bananas (which decreased by Rs4.03 per dozen) and potatoes (which fell by Rs1.37 per kilogram), saw price drops. Additionally, 25 items experienced stable prices.
- Eggs: +Rs6.19/dozen
- Onions: +Rs1.29/kg
- Garlic: +Rs6.03/kg
- Wheat flour (20kg): +Rs21.18
- Mash pulse: +Rs2.32/kg
- Mutton: +Rs6.68/kg
Declines were noted for channa pulse (-Rs2.60/kg) and LPG cylinders (-Rs10.39). The PBS data reflects ongoing economic pressures.
The Sensitive Price Index (SPI) for the week ended 13-Aug-2025 recorded a increase of 2.21% YoY and an increase of 0.31% WoW.@PBSofficialpak @StateBank_Pak #PBS #Inflation #Pakistan #Economy #AHL pic.twitter.com/HmF2uyFrU7
— Arif Habib Limited (@ArifHabibLtd) August 15, 2025Despite ongoing inflation, a Gallup Pakistan survey conducted from July 23 to 27, 2025, indicated that private sector business confidence reached a four-year high. The “Direction of the Country Score” was recorded at -2%, an improvement from the lows seen in late 2024. The survey included responses from 524 businesses in the manufacturing, services, and trade sectors.
The inflation rise aligns with global commodity trends, but Pakistan’s equity market, leading in USD returns for FY24–25, and Moody’s Caa1 rating upgrade reflect economic optimism. The State Bank of Pakistan projects 3.25–4.25% GDP growth for FY26, supporting sentiment. However, sustained inflation control is critical to maintaining confidence.
