On July 6, 2025, Pakistan issued a flood warning for the Guddu and Sukkur barrages due to the opening of the Tarbela Dam’s spillway and ongoing monsoon rains. The National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) urged preparedness for potential flash floods.
The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) and NDMA warned of low to moderate flooding at Guddu and Sukkur barrages, with water flows expected to reach 300,000–400,000 cusecs from July 7–12, per ARY News. Heavy monsoon rains, intensified by a westerly wave, threaten flash floods in northern areas, including Swat and Chitral, according to the NDMA’s National Emergencies Operation Centre (NEOC). Irrigation authorities are repairing weak embankments to prevent breaches, with no immediate threat to residential areas, but risks to crops.
Daily National Weather Forecast | 05-07-2025#Pakistan #pmd #weather #Forecast pic.twitter.com/7pqCHzJBwy
— Pak Met Department محکمہ موسمیات (@pmdgov) July 5, 2025
From June 25 to July 1, 2025, monsoon rains caused the deaths of 57 people, including 28 children, in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Punjab, and Sindh, according to The Watchers. In 2022, Sindh experienced rainfall that was 784% above average. This excessive rainfall, combined with climate-driven glacier melt, has increased the flood risks along the Indus River, as reported by Britannica. The Tarbela Dam, currently managing inflows of 243,000 cusecs, is releasing water to maintain its levels, which is raising the risk of flooding downstream at Guddu and Sukkur.
Read: Swat River Flash Flood Sweeps Away 18 Sialkot Tourists, Rescue Efforts Intensify
The National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) issued alerts for July 6–10, advising on emergency preparedness in Punjab, Sindh, and the northern regions. There are risks of flash floods in Murree, Swat, and Dir, according to the National Emergency Operations Centre (NEOC). Sindh’s Chief Minister, Murad Ali Shah, has ordered the establishment of flood control rooms at Guddu and Sukkur.