In a surprising turn of events, Muharrem Ince, one of the four candidates in the heated Turkish presidential race, withdrew his candidacy mere days before the election.
Muharrem Ince’s exit can reshuffle the political deck at a time when opposition parties could tip the scales against long-term incumbent Recep Tayyip Erdogan by rallying behind a single contender.
Ince held a press conference to announce his departure, attributing it to various reasons. A significant concern was disseminating manipulated explicit images aimed at smearing his reputation. In addition, Ince conveyed his disillusionment over the 45-day character assassination he had faced, highlighting the inability of Turkish authorities to uphold his dignity.
Ince claimed that counterfeit videos and images, one of which superimposed his face onto an Israeli pornographic video, were spread by alleged opposition members.
Furthermore, Ince expressed apprehension about bearing the brunt of the blame if the opposition alliance failed to secure a presidential win. His decision to step back is intended to mitigate internal strife and avoid becoming the fall guy for a potential opposition defeat. His exit, therefore, gives a significant leg up to Erdogan’s main competitor, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, with Turkey’s main stock market experiencing an immediate spike post-announcement.
Erdogan’s two-decade-long reign in Turkey is threatened by various challenges, including a soaring inflation rate of 44% and criticism over handling a catastrophic double earthquake in February, which caused over 50,000 casualties across 11 provinces.
Kilicdaroglu, a 74-year-old leader renowned for his tranquil demeanor, leads a coalition of six opposition parties. Recent polls show that he currently holds 49% of the vote. While Ince’s polling share was comparatively modest, it is hoped by opposition supporters that his exit will tilt the balance in Kilicdaroglu’s favor, potentially securing him a majority win in Sunday’s election. A run-off election will follow two weeks later if no candidate achieves 50% of the vote.
Ince, at 59, had previously secured 30% of the vote as a candidate for the primary opposition Republican People’s Party five years ago. However, he parted ways with the party the subsequent year, embarking on his path in Turkish politics.