Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris in handling the Ukraine and Middle East conflicts.
According to a Wall Street Journal opinion poll from seven battleground states, the race is tightly contested as the November 5 election approaches, with both candidates tied in overall support across these crucial states.
The detailed state-by-state results show Harris slightly ahead in Arizona, Georgia, and Michigan by 2 percentage points, while Trump leads by 6 points in Nevada and 1 point in Pennsylvania. They are tied in North Carolina and Wisconsin. The poll, conducted from September 28 to October 8 with 600 registered voters in each state, has a margin of error of 4 percentage points.
These results mirror other polls indicating a close national race, grappling with issues like the economy, immigration, women’s rights, and democratic values. This week, a Reuters/Ipsos poll also shows a narrow gap nationally, with Harris slightly leading Trump 46% to 43%.
In the battleground states, Trump has a substantial lead over Harris in managing Russia’s war in Ukraine (50% to 39%) and the Israel-Hamas conflict (48% to 33%). However, according to the WSJ poll, more voters favour Harris for handling housing, healthcare, and empathy for people’s needs.
These surveys highlight the importance of swing state voters, as the state-by-state Electoral College results will ultimately decide the presidential election. If Harris secures the states she currently leads, she could win a narrow majority in the Electoral College.