The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) rallied on July 22, 2025, driven by investor confidence stemming from assurances of economic stability, expectations of policy easing, and strong prospects for corporate earnings.
The benchmark KSE-100 Index soared to an intraday high of 139,703.29, up 1,485.71 points (1.07%), before retreating to a low of 138,197.81, down 19.77 points (0.01%). This follows a 379.78-point decline on Monday to 138,217.58. Analysts attribute the bullish momentum to macroeconomic improvements, anticipated monetary easing, and progress on privatisation.
The KSE-100 Index opened strongly, reflecting optimism from recent developments. Topline Securities noted: “The market surged to an intraday high of 139,703.29, driven by growing macroeconomic confidence and corporate earnings expectations.” Despite profit-taking later, the index showcased resilience, fluctuating between a high of 139,703.29 and a low of 138,197.81. This volatility underscores investor caution ahead of July-end contract expiries but signals sustained bullish sentiment.
Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb’s high-level talks with U.S. officials on July 19 bolstered optimism. Describing the discussions as a “game changer,” he emphasised the U.S. as Pakistan’s largest trading partner and pushed for a strategic partnership focused on investment and technology. Aurangzeb’s positive outlook on tariff relief and economic ties lifted investor spirits.
Macroeconomic data further supported the rally. The State Bank of Pakistan reported a $328 million current account surplus in June 2025, contributing to a $2.1 billion full-year surplus for FY25—the first in 14 years, equivalent to 0.5% of GDP. Record remittances, import compression, and IMF loan inflows drove this achievement.
The auto sector also showed strength, with financing rising 20% year-on-year to Rs277 billion in June, indicating robust consumer sentiment and demand for durable goods.
Comparison of KSE-100 Index Performance
Date | Closing Points | Change (Points) | Change (%) | Intraday High | Intraday Low |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
July 21, 2025 | 138,217.58 | -379.78 | -0.27% | 139,201.16 | 138,149.57 |
July 22, 2025 | 138,197.81* | -19.77* | -0.01%* | 139,703.29 | 138,197.81 |
*Intraday closing data as of session end. Source: Topline Securities, PSX.
Analysts expect the bullish trend to continue, supported by prospects for monetary easing and progress in privatisation. The IMF’s $7 billion program, combined with stable foreign reserves of $19 billion, enhances market confidence. However, investors remain cautious about global trade uncertainties, including U.S. tariff talks.