The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has issued a report acknowledging the ongoing political uncertainty in Pakistan despite the recent elections.
The report highlights the electoral success of Imran Khan’s Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) and its affiliated independent candidates, who emerged as a dominant force in the 2024 general elections, securing more votes than any other party.
According to the IMF, while the newly formed coalition government between Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) and Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) has pledged to uphold the policies stipulated under the Stand-By Arrangement, several challenges may obstruct these efforts. The complex political environment, persistent inflation, and societal tensions will likely complicate policy implementation. Additionally, the report raises concerns about increased demands on banks to provide financing to the government, which could potentially limit the availability of resources for the private sector.
The IMF also warns of potential risks to Pakistan’s economic stability, including heightened debt levels and pressure on the exchange rate, which could stem from the ineffective implementation of economic policies and a scarcity of external financing. Delays in obtaining this financing are expected to strain further banks’ capacity to support governmental borrowing.
Further complications could arise from external factors such as fluctuating commodity prices, shipping disruptions, or tighter global financial conditions, all of which could threaten the external stability of the country.
Despite PTI’s strong performance, PML-N and PPP’s formation of a coalition government establishes a significant opposition presence in the National Assembly, underscoring the fragmented political landscape and the challenges ahead for governance and economic reform in Pakistan.